ACUS11 KWNS 291935
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291935=20
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-292130-

Mesoscale Discussion 2030
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0235 PM CDT Thu Aug 29 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Nebraska into western Iowa

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 291935Z - 292130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storm coverage along the cold front should continue to
increase in eastern Nebraska and eventually western Iowa. The slow
push eastward of storms and potential for outflow does increase
uncertainty in how organized the damaging wind threat will be.
Trends will be monitored, but a watch is not expected currently.

DISCUSSION...Convection has developed along the cold front in
south-central Nebraska. Additional storms are likely to develop
along the boundary through the afternoon given the destabilization (particularly southeast Nebraska) evident on visible satellite. With
shear vectors roughly parallel to the front, storm mode should be
decidedly linear. It is possible for a supercell or two to be
embedded in the line, especially with northern extent. The main
hazard should be damaging winds with isolated large hail more
conditional on a discrete storm mode.

In northwest Iowa and south-central Nebraska, outflow from
convection is evident on KFSD/KUEX radar imagery. With similar
potential for outflow pushing away from storms and the frontal
motion continuing to the east, there is some chance many storms will
be slightly elevated in nature and for corridors of greater wind
damage potential to be dependent on mesoscale outflow surges.

..Wendt/Guyer.. 08/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5C5i5GFsMaXjHyBqnHHcmAQebdS_J_GgZFZ7HmYXpbTEfQj_NEaRbhDiNNZo8SMMP1tXvC2Nd= LQ8RYz6rP6eK9hzfvI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...

LAT...LON 40109890 40549876 42149800 42319785 42559754 42649631
42499533 41939512 40319637 40069746 40069806 40109890=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)