• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1705

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jul 25 03:11:52 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 250311
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250311=20
    AZZ000-250445-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1705
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1011 PM CDT Wed Jul 24 2024

    Areas affected...Lower Deserts of Arizona

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 559...

    Valid 250311Z - 250445Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 559
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Gusty winds remain possible with convection as it
    propagates southwest toward the lower deserts.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues to drift southwest
    toward the lower desert regions of Arizona late this evening. Much
    of this activity is struggling to maintain any appreciable intensity
    and lightning trends are gradually decreasing. Even so,
    boundary-layer lapse rates remain steep with surface temperatures
    holding above 100F where convective outflow has not modified
    conditions. Gusty winds may persist with the strongest convection
    the next few hours which may require locally extending the watch,
    but overall trends appear to be gradually decreasing.

    ..Darrow.. 07/25/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7e6Hytgf4VRgkxzLcoL2fh3ei9b9zDjnz9PJH8b9fovj4wT1o1X7sK-n2zpXNS5FQQOKv0VIN= t6pSFh8J91LyeUm0Zw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TWC...PSR...

    LAT...LON 32941203 32081073 31441094 32141266 33541337 33941260
    32941203=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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