ACUS11 KWNS 181753
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 181752=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-181945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1677
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 PM CDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Areas affected...Northern Georgia into eastern South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 181752Z - 181945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated reports of damaging winds are possible across
northern Georgia into eastern South Carolina and portions of
southwestern North Carolina.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage has increased across portions of
northern Georgia, southwestern North Carolina, and eastern South
Carolina, as convective temperature has been reached across much of
the area. Precipitable water values approaching the 90th percentile
for the region, coupled with meager vertical shear of only 20 kts,
will result in a localized threat for water loaded updrafts
collapsing into downbursts capable of severe winds. Overall
convective organization is expected to remain low, though some
loosely organized bowing convective segments are possible where
outflow interactions are favorable. This convective activity will
then diminish after sunset.

..Halbert/Squitieri/Hart.. 07/18/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4y9Ziszyxffr0ChtYg4QRItpOWfJLKtoqY8TSYK_aG6BLC8SbhME7HY4oroQGx7T9vIrpOcZY= dNfgVKHMKVd_zRvzeY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON 35068514 35178435 35268348 35568260 35768216 35928178
35858124 35378089 34898093 34428106 33998149 33808214
33838294 33878328 33958430 34248491 34718532 35068514=20


=3D =3D =3D
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