• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2261

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 04:05:14 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 070402
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 070402
    MTZ000-070500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2261
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1102 PM CDT Sun Sep 06 2026

    Areas affected...parts of north central Montana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 662...

    Valid 070402Z - 070500Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 662
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Some further intensification of storms appears possible,
    perhaps including a small evolving organized cluster accompanied by
    strong surface gusts across the Malta through international border
    vicinity of north central Montana by 11 PM-1 AM MDT.

    DISCUSSION...A couple of stronger storms have generally maintained
    vigorous intensity over the past few hours while propagating north
    of Lewistown toward the international border, with supporting
    mid/upper forcing for ascent. Based on latest surface and objective
    analysis, mid 60s F surface dew points around the Malta vicinity may
    still provide potential for increasingly unstable updraft inflow
    over the next couple of hours. This could be accompanied by further thunderstorm intensification, perhaps including the evolution of a
    small organizing cluster with potential to produce a bit broader
    swath of strong to severe gusts. It appears that this probably will
    remain west of Glasgow, impacting mainly Blaine and Phillips
    counties before progressing across the international border
    overnight.

    ..Kerr.. 09/07/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8dYRYogulg21SmxIKxTNE2LyfI_NWsaH2bCb55xdi4V6rTqwzNS3wGh13H58zPLfr6B0u4LWdow7-6itiDBtLNchSg0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GGW...TFX...

    LAT...LON 47760914 48410931 49190961 49280852 48460779 47860775
    47510868 47760914

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)