ACUS11 KWNS 192031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192031
NCZ000-VAZ000-192200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1662
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Areas affected...Southern Mid-Atlantic into North Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498...

Valid 192031Z - 192200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498
continues.

SUMMARY...A risk for damaging winds will continue into early
evening. The greatest risk will be in areas where temperatures are
90+ F.

DISCUSSION...Scattered convection within southern Virginia and
central/eastern North Carolina has led to considerable convective
overturning. Within a corridor from Greensboro to Greenville,
temperatures remain in the low/mid 90s F. Visible satellite shows
towering cumulus increasing in parts of this zone as well. This
region will likely see the greatest potential for strong/damaging
winds given the locally steeper low-level lapse rates. Otherwise,
the cold front continues to sag southward this afternoon into
southern Virginia. Dewpoints are falling rapidly as this occurs. The
severe risk should gradually decrease from northwest to southeast as
this trends continues into the evening.

..Wendt.. 07/19/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5Z8fj0UQrNqZNXrOLI5230zRMxqnLmbwV8OdZXQogGDOblgU-MpcK1mnToTPD6NWUbdZPd1z7ldcWigVxThaJU1AmIc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

LAT...LON 35037923 36038033 36878024 37417906 37467771 37177644
36167579 35437582 34727674 34627729 35037923

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
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