ACUS11 KWNS 191912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191911
SCZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-VAZ000-192115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1660
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Areas affected...Southern Appalachians/Piedmont

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 191911Z - 192115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible with scattered storms
this afternoon. Lack of organization should preclude watch issuance
this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Convection over the course of the last couple of hours
has remained rather weak with a few cells becoming briefly
marginally severe. Area VAD data shows 0-6 km shear of 15-20 kt.
This should continue to promote disorganized cells that may
occasionally pulse in intensity. A corridor of low 90s F
temperatures and steeper low-level lapse rates in northern Georgia
into Upstate South Carolina could see a locally greater risk of
isolated wind damage. Barring greater cold pool organization of
activity, a watch is not anticipated this afternoon.

..Wendt/Thompson.. 07/19/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!46d3_x7hAxnqTX193KPffnhFS1ERIaW1upL6hQ3FrbU6jJJI-Z3rzhMBcGHw44BDjGXNsOlSOMyaEHsqYF39BD8b8WU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...

LAT...LON 33178413 33628514 34738545 35038547 35938474 36518398
36578316 36628259 36508181 35998096 35328058 34698038
34148057 33178413

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
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