ACUS11 KWNS 020634
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020633=20
KSZ000-OKZ000-020830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0954
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0133 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2026

Areas affected...parts of south central/southeastern Kansas and
north central/northeastern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268...

Valid 020633Z - 020830Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268
continues.

SUMMARY...At its current motion, the ongoing convective system will
progress east-southeast of the watch within the hour. It remains
unclear how long this cluster will be maintained through the
overnight hours, but it is possible that potential for gusts
exceeding severe limits may be diminishing enough that a new severe
weather watch may not be needed.

DISCUSSION...Vigorous thunderstorm development persists on the
leading edge of the organized convective system, which has recently
been propagating east-southeastward at 30-35 kt.=20
Westerly/northwesterly rear inflow to the south of an associated
mesoscale convective vortex now progressing to the north of Medicine
Lodge remains on the order of 40-50+ kt, and a corridor of 2-4+ mb
(up to 6.5 mb in the 06Z Medicine Lodge observation) 2-hourly
surface pressure rises remain evident on the leading edge of the
cold pool. However, there have been signs of weakening trends in
latest radar data, and the latest Rapid Refresh/HRRR suggest more
substantive weakening trends during the next few hours, as
inhibition for inflow parcels emanating from the seasonably moist
boundary layer continues to slowly increase.

..Kerr.. 06/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6DfY9wLu7FejXRcXDw2RHSBJLBZTs1DKh2GtkH4hP8kEdHTWZCo_-9d_JXHguuU5PaL9jcZ5g= pBJdRavQqRDbWcjgik$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 37779757 37609611 37019545 35739620 36049742 36349771
37049744 37779757=20


=3D =3D =3D
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