• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0296

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Mar 27 02:26:05 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 270225
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270225=20
    PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-270330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0296
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0925 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

    Areas affected...East-central Ohio...western Pennsylvania

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...

    Valid 270225Z - 270330Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe weather threat should gradually diminish after
    03z/11 pm EDT and, although an isolated strong/severe storm will
    remain possible, the overall threat is such that an additional watch
    is not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Isolated strong/severe storms were in progress at 0220z
    along the cold front across east-central OH and southwest PA, with a
    recent history of large hail and near severe gusts. As the storms
    move southeast into a less favorable thermodynamic environment
    (MUCAPE less than 500 J/kg) after 03-04z, an overall weakening trend
    is expected. Although a localized risk for a strong/severe storm
    may persist beyond the scheduled expiration of Tornado Watch 75 at
    03z, the risk is expected to remain confined in space and time, and
    an additional downstream watch is not expected.

    ..Bunting.. 03/27/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4_Y2PRsefMwDB88zZgNLcF9_Pjgup5WL-PN1fN-rduRYhuTNYEEgP8F3uHdLlXI_9oTjpMez7= vTMHaNewGIdKEzqvKQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

    LAT...LON 40318212 40528046 40517956 40477926 40277908 40047925
    39837969 39728015 39718052 39698124 39708176 39778194
    39978255 40268247 40318212=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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