• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0294

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Mar 27 00:21:28 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 270021
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270021=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-270115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0294
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0721 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

    Areas affected...Central portions of Illinois and Indiana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76...

    Valid 270021Z - 270115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for large hail and damaging winds continues
    across the watch area.

    DISCUSSION...A south/southeast-moving cold front extended across
    central portions of IN/IL at 00z, with scattered strong/severe
    storms located in the vicinity of the front, primarily across the IN
    portion of the watch. These storms have a history of wind damage and
    large hail up to the size of golfballs. The downstream environment
    will remain favorable for a continued severe threat through 03-04z
    with upwards of 1000 J/kg MLCAPE and sufficient shear for organized
    storms.

    Farther west, some increase in reflectivity has been noted with
    convective elements along the front over far west-central IL.
    High-res guidance, notably recent runs of the HRRR, suggests that
    additional thunderstorm development will be possible over the next
    couple of hours, with some severe hail/wind threat accompanying the
    strongest storms.

    ..Bunting.. 03/27/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_XLJI-fE761YcFuqa2MW3YAb_HZc2vn7T3YW3klPfQDSMuRtr6PsmYNodqYekOQQIA8401g6a= Jf5eALYU0aw_em0_us$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

    LAT...LON 40719094 40989005 40958942 40768835 40608756 40518696
    40578643 40728591 40948553 40798491 40018485 39798536
    39568665 39528745 39538816 39518889 39568979 39519103
    40219147 40719094=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)