ACUS11 KWNS 262341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262340=20
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-270115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

Areas affected...portions of northern and central Ohio...western
Pennsylvania

Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...

Valid 262340Z - 270115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for large hail, damaging gusts, and a tornado
continues in advance of a cold front moving southeast across the
watch area this evening.

DISCUSSION...A cold front was located over far northern OH and
northwest PA at 2330z, with a line segment of severe thunderstorms
moving southeast across northwest OH extending from near Toledo to
Ottawa and a history of damaging winds and severe hail. In the
presence of MLCAPE of 500 to locally 1000 J/kg and sufficient
deep-layer shear, the environment will favor supercell and linear
structures capable of continued potential for large hail and
damaging gusts. Low-level shear of 150-200 m2/s2 will support some
potential for low-level rotation and a risk for a tornado,
especially with any semi-discrete storm that can persist. Severe
storms moving into western OH west of Versailles will likely
continue to pose a severe risk given the favorable thermodynamic and
kinematic environment, and local watch extension has been
coordinated in this area.

Across eastern OH/western PA, more isolated severe storms have
developed and occasionally exhibited supercell characteristics.
Latest RAP soundings suggest a continued favorable environment for
severe wind and hail, along with the potential for a tornado given
sufficient low-level shear.

..Bunting.. 03/26/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9olfLIaTx_OBQeeLrUF8PlNU9SQEEiy-3sAOuVNm2hTL7QAL1NX9bhHM0ycsmn8WJ2uVtc8rD= zE4gaj4p5eiFfdNMD4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...

LAT...LON 41078439 41158404 41478389 41668379 41678364 41608331
41398236 41438122 41538116 41718062 41788027 41727998
41407971 41147968 40947969 40727975 40598022 40548091
40628158 40188305 39768407 40168469 40778471 40928457
41078439=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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