• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2013

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Aug 25 02:19:02 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 250218
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250218=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-250315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2013
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0918 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of the eastern Texas Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 603...

    Valid 250218Z - 250315Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 603
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A localized risk of severe hail and wind continues across
    parts of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 603 in the eastern Texas
    Panhandle.

    DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from KAMA shows ongoing
    convection moving southward across the eastern TX Panhandle,
    including one discrete supercell moving across Gray/Donley Counties.
    This storm is approaching the southern edge of a weakly unstable air
    mass, where around 30 kt of effective shear will continue to promote
    a risk of large hail and locally severe gusts in the near term.
    However, given limited residence time in the surface-based buoyancy
    and a gradual increase in nocturnal PBL static stability, the severe
    risk should gradually decrease over the next couple hours, and a
    downstream watch is not currently expected.

    ..Weinman.. 08/25/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Db1HLelM7ReYijFJed-7zsay3NcjkMhPM6ACXP2qevxQz3Jl2_ffnE3Xp7KjcbJl_e64zzHm= i9_eyahQky3Y28n-eM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 34630041 34800111 35200116 35400082 35490039 35349993
    35009982 34769997 34630041=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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