• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2012

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Aug 25 00:08:01 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 250007
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250007=20
    KSZ000-COZ000-250130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2012
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0707 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of east-central and southeastern Colorado

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 602...

    Valid 250007Z - 250130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 602
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk of large hail and locally severe gusts continues
    across parts of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 602 in southeast and
    east-central Colorado.

    DISCUSSION...A couple semi-discrete storms are evolving slowly
    southward along outflow boundaries in east-central and southeastern
    CO. Warm/moist inflow for these storms (lower 60s dewpoints) and
    around 40 kt of effective shear should continue to favor transient
    supercell structures for the next couple hours -- prior to the onset
    of nocturnal static stability. The stronger/longer-lived storms will
    continue to pose a risk of large hail and locally severe gusts.

    ..Weinman.. 08/25/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9I2taTZuCdtODvkQ2Hxcav86lqQslkLyUFD09IWWUtxQxTYZLZ0zU8MGqAoh55r_VGBHajgC0= TuGfXJTqRIAJZlwenk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

    LAT...LON 37630238 37690315 38290419 38930444 39300417 39320387
    38460221 37940195 37630238=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)