• PTC Erin Swimming Dangero

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Aug 23 09:04:58 2025
    474
    WTNT35 KNHC 222030
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Advisory Number 46
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025
    500 PM AST Fri Aug 22 2025

    ...ERIN BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
    ...SWIMMING AT MANY U.S. EAST COAST BEACHES IS LIKELY TO REMAIN
    DANGEROUS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...40.0N 59.7W
    ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin
    was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 59.7 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 33
    mph (54 km/h). This general motion with an increase in forward
    speed is expected later today, followed by a turn back to the
    northeast on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Erin
    will pass south of Atlantic Canada today and tonight, and then race
    across the north Atlantic waters.

    Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Erin is likely to remain a large and powerful
    hurricane-force low pressure system through the weekend.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435
    miles (705 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC.

    WIND: Gale-force wind gusts are possible along portions of the
    coast of Nova Scotia today and the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland
    on Saturday.

    SURF: Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda,
    the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the
    next few days. These rough ocean conditions are expected to
    cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult
    products from your local weather forecast office for more
    information.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents

    STORM SURGE: Some coastal flooding is expected at times of high
    tide along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts
    through tonight, making some roads impassable. See updates from
    your local National Weather Service office for details.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
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