• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2064

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Sep 13 00:29:06 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 130029
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 130028=20
    ALZ000-130230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2064
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0728 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

    Areas affected...central Alabama

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 671...

    Valid 130028Z - 130230Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 671 continues.

    SUMMARY...A small area of conditional tornado potential remains over
    parts of central Alabama, but probabilities will continue to drop
    over time.

    DISCUSSION...Prior to sunset, visible satellite showed areas of
    agitated CU along a confluence line, and west of a warm front which
    now stretches from near Birmingham AL into southwest GA. A moist air
    mass remains over the region, with precipitable water in excess of
    1.80". Scattered cells, primarily elevated, developed over
    east-central AL, and persist this evening.=20

    Despite the moist troposphere, instability is not particular strong,
    and, confined to a relatively narrow axis just west of the warm
    front. Low-level shear remains favorable in a conditional sense for
    rotating storms/supercells, however, it appears unlikely at this
    point that any robust convective machinations will develop to take
    advantage of said shear.

    ..Jewell.. 09/13/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4pQrhZeHK5-tFqAsVcrquAQHOAgbLYm6Gw9UM1j8Raj0h8rmta154S2EhbQAs98DLHIHFNci7= Rs5Xet-jxbHYReISdk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

    LAT...LON 31408685 32018706 32558715 33048737 33298757 33368728
    33058653 32488581 32098573 31578589 31298638 31408685=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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