ACUS11 KWNS 152315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152314=20
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-160045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1911
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0614 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Areas affected...Northern Missouri and Southern Iowa

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 623...

Valid 152314Z - 160045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 623
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for severe thunderstorms continues across WW
623.

DISCUSSION...A few supercells have developed across portions of WW
623, supported by a moist/unstable airmass and modest 35-40 kt
deep-layer shear. Primarily straight-line hodographs will continue
to support splitting supercells capable of all hazards, though the
tornado potential appears somewhat limited given the lack of
low-level flow/curvature of hodographs. The primary threat will be
for large hail (especially with any long-lived left split
supercells) and damaging winds. Some additional convective
development is anticipated as a frontal impinges on the northern
portions of the watch area, with visible satellite imagery showing
deepening cumulus indicating new initiation.

..Halbert/Squitieri.. 08/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_3ySHkNs-mhiMmLYadEJhcJGlfXHPZXSdImSLKhae0mKNAJqDr4Gu0XOWxbvDX946aPn7pEJe= 4X8z98uFrMPdLoyPfk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39499544 39499578 41359587 41849591 41859355 41829148
39679120 39499544=20


=3D =3D =3D
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