ACUS11 KWNS 090449
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090449=20
TXZ000-090615-
Mesoscale Discussion 0391
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024
Areas affected...Parts of north TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93...
Valid 090449Z - 090615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93
continues.
SUMMARY...Very large hail (golfball to baseball size) remains
possible with an ongoing supercell cluster. A brief tornado cannot
be ruled out.
DISCUSSION...Several supercells are ongoing at 0445 UTC to the
west-northwest of the Metroplex, with multiple cells having produced
golfball or larger sized hail (up to 3 inches in diameter) within
the last hour. While some cell interactions/mergers have been noted
with the northernmost cells, the two right-moving supercells ongoing
west of Mineral Wells and north of Fort Worth may be able to move east-northeastward with minimal interference in the short term.=20
MLCAPE of around 2000 J/kg and effective shear of 45-55 kt will
continue to support supercell potential into the early overnight
hours, with very large hail (potentially 2-3 inches in diameter with
the strongest cells) as the primary threat, along with some risk for
localized severe gusts. Also, low-level flow has substantially
increased over the last 1-2 hours on the KFWS VWP, with 0-1 km SRH
increasing above 150 m2/s2. This could support a brief tornado
threat with the strongest right-moving cells, though relatively cool near-surface conditions may mitigate this threat to some extent.
..Dean.. 04/09/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-2AT7wkPvBsmJ4oChTC2FHHYXHmfba4ZNzk-2Cy-RLaHpv-0GpKTwjYH89AQEV2w6YlrobrT6= aDSzOWjfZK0YhN8_oI$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 33359899 33639814 33679694 33399637 33109626 32919638
32709657 32609701 32549747 32529802 32539848 32579908
32679931 32979941 33099945 33359899=20
=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at
cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)