• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0364

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 3 07:53:48 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 030753
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030753=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-030930-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0364
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0253 AM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

    Areas affected...portions of central/eastern Georgia into South
    Carolina

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 83...84...

    Valid 030753Z - 030930Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 83, 84 continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms with an attendant risk for
    damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes will continue to shift east
    across parts of Georgia and South Carolina through early morning.
    Trends being monitored for possible watch issuance downstream from
    Tornado Watch 83.

    DISCUSSION...Stronger surface pressure falls have been noted over GA
    the past couple of hours. This has allowed for some minor backing of
    low-level flow ahead of bowing segments from central to eastern GA
    and several areas of low-level rotation have been noted over the
    past hour. Area VWPs continue to show impressive low-level and deep
    shear supporting supercells. Instability remains modest, but
    sufficient for a continued severe thunderstorm/tornado risk the next
    few hours.

    Downstream from Tornado Watch 83 and 84 across portions of southeast
    GA into the SC Midlands into the Low Country, vertical shear will
    improve with time. However, it is unclear how much further
    destabilization will occur with eastward extent. Organized
    convection will likely persist toward the coast into the morning
    hours, but low-level inhibition and poor lapse rates my limit a more
    robust severe risk. Trends will be monitored for possible downstream
    watch issuance in the next couple of hours.

    ..Leitman.. 04/03/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5AoaFhB2U1jY7664FgYZlxm0-e6vYXDJZymiyVuLBJQ1xQPGIsdEzdhCna6_TMS9ArMdoO8gh= R9V_ySvmcoCmgNtvdo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

    LAT...LON 33878318 34508196 34778102 34698042 34377998 33678010
    32968063 31588202 31438295 31378419 31588484 31768473
    32788406 33878318=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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