• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0361

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 3 01:44:14 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 030144
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030143=20
    GAZ000-ALZ000-030345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0361
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0843 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

    Areas affected...Central Alabama into western Georgia

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 82...

    Valid 030143Z - 030345Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 82 continues.

    SUMMARY...A cluster of strong thunderstorms over west-central AL may
    intensify in the next hour or two, posing a risk of a few tornadoes
    and wind damage.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms that formed over southeast
    MS has now moved into west-central and southwest AL. The air mass
    ahead of these storms continues to moisten with dewpoints in the mid
    60s now as far north as BHM. Meanwhile, an intensifying southerly
    low-level jet is focusing across southern/central AL as shown by
    regional VAD data. Recent hodographs from the BMX/MXX/EOX radars
    show large, looping shear profiles with 0-3km SRH values of 300-400
    m2/s2. 00z RAOBs from BMX/FFC showed a deep warm-layer from 0-4km,
    that has thus far limited updrafts strength. However, model
    guidance suggests this layer will cool somewhat in the next 1-2
    hours, allowing more robust convection. Both the HRRR and recent
    WoFS runs show the corridor from the current storms eastward to the
    south of the BHM area toward the western ATL suburbs as having a
    relatively greater threat in the next few hours for severe storms
    including a few tornadoes.

    ..Hart.. 04/03/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7TQX6RjgzNzhb7Qwmrnb5l3x7QgzhTF-urXe1GMT5nhOvT5LkJ5axivC6d3ep3mmnuVDwKgk0= cSas48OzS4BBWjLmP0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...

    LAT...LON 33298701 33888490 32958500 32298782 33298701=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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