• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0355

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 2 21:34:39 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 022134
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022133=20
    NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-022300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0355
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0433 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

    Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee and far western North Carolina.

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 022133Z - 022300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...A tornado watch may be needed across eastern Tennessee and potentially into far western North Carolina.

    DISCUSSION...A supercell has moved east of watch 79 across eastern
    Tennessee. Additional storm development is questionable as
    widespread thunderstorms have developed to the west with anvil
    debris across much of eastern Tennessee. However, at least scattered
    supercell development remains possible through early evening. The
    MRX VWP currently shows less than 100 m2/s2 0-1km SRH with the
    stronger low-level jet to the west. This wind profile is expected to
    increase after 00Z as this low-level jet slowly moves east. A
    tornado watch will eventually be needed this evening, as low-level
    shear and storm coverage increases.

    ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/02/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8F_Nf2Un4PVFeWftPxa2RsyDck37JR0UQ_4H_JdB9fNrrRnNtK_cN0iCg9LjTznCTEbljkq4e= suZGlVQEMUC_-DLntE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 36028533 36598459 36618330 36568208 36138184 35878242
    35538324 35218386 34998426 34978477 34998542 34978579
    35118597 36028533=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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