• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0343

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 2 14:01:36 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 021401
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 021400=20
    WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-021500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0343
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0900 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

    Areas affected...Portions of eastern KY...extreme southern
    OH...extreme southwestern VA...and WV

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 73...

    Valid 021400Z - 021500Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 73 continues.

    SUMMARY...A damaging wind and isolated tornado threat may continue
    into parts of West Virginia this morning. Downstream watch issuance
    will be needed.

    DISCUSSION...A small, but well organized line of thunderstorms is
    ongoing this morning across parts of eastern KY and far southern OH.
    While instability remains weak per recent mesoanalysis estimates and
    various RAP forecast soundings (around 250-500 J/kg MLCAPE), strong
    deep-layer shear of 50-60 kt will likely support continued
    convective organization as this line moves eastward into parts of WV
    and vicinity this morning. Damaging winds should remain the primary
    threat given the linear nature of the ongoing convection, but enough
    low-level shear is also present to support some risk for isolated
    tornadoes. A downstream watch will be issued shortly.

    ..Gleason/Thompson.. 04/02/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7i9tRVhXKOs3i9D8JZDdVDc9u-ywJUlfBqcvfFip0A8wgRSiDEhBuKTLS2FCLWxXvY-1mu-TX= bHndFcBjiGqDNz-VMU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

    LAT...LON 37908400 38668314 38678209 38168108 37498163 37338231
    37548361 37908400=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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