• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0339

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 2 08:11:52 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 020810
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 020810=20
    KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-020945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0339
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0310 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

    Areas affected...portions of southeast Indiana into far southwest
    Ohio and northern Kentucky

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 020810Z - 020945Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible through early
    morning. Strong gusts and marginally severe hail to 1 inch diameter
    may accompany this activity.

    DISCUSSION...Strong thunderstorms near and north of the effective
    warm front draped across south-central IN will continue to shift
    east the next few hours. This activity is likely elevated given
    strong low-level inhibition and storms tracking just to the cool
    side of the surface boundary. However, strong vertical shear will
    continue to allow for organized storm structures within a modestly
    unstable airmass. Locally strong/damaging gusts and sporadic hail
    from 0.5 to 1.0 inches in diameter are possible with this activity.
    A watch is not currently expected with this ongoing activity, but
    one may be needed later this morning as upstream activity over
    southern IL spreads into a destabilizing airmass.

    ..Leitman/Smith.. 04/02/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ZpEFW7IOvsUcqjBIUVkyKHseJhI8PNIhZPzeylc96CW4zwPZnC3o2qto_OSWC1mrHJ900okH= 0pheZ10mKQKqzU8rGE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...

    LAT...LON 38708441 38708537 38668650 38718697 38888701 39378678
    39518617 39418493 39248441 39138428 38808421 38708441=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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