• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0327

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 1 22:28:57 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 012228
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 012228=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-020000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0327
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0528 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

    Areas affected...eastern Kansas and western/central Missouri

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 64...67...

    Valid 012228Z - 020000Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 64, 67 continues.

    SUMMARY...Numerous supercells are expected this evening with large
    to very large hail likely. The tornado threat will increase near and
    after sunset.

    DISCUSSION...A mature supercell has developed in southeast Kansas
    with hail up to golf ball sized reported. Additional supercells have
    started to develop along the warm front in central Missouri. MLCAPE
    of 1200 to 1500 J/kg and effective shear in excess of 70 knots (per
    SGF VWP) will support large to very large hail with any storms. SPC mesoanalysis shows STP around 1 to 1.5 at 22Z and the WoFs suggest
    STP around 3 by 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens. Therefore,
    expect a gradual increase in tornado intensity through the evening.

    ..Bentley.. 04/01/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9PwioIUmg1XL9SdfxARCxl2kfSXj0Yi6L6W0c54pGIht5OTenqiV1XoW6o94nuiwSKhP5cbwn= tM76d4Of2x2jfezi_4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

    LAT...LON 37039660 38179597 39009535 39619438 39499287 39159138
    38559120 38149156 37769261 37109369 36979429 37039660=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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