Dozens have died in floods in Texas. The link is being made to the severe cutbacks by DOGE. Many weather scientists were reportedly fired because, according to DOGE, weather forecasting could be done more cheaply. Apparently, being cheap has now become expensive. Will these deaths now also be attributed to Trump and Musk?

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Dozens have died in floods in Texas. The link is being made to the severe cutbacks by DOGE. Many weather scientists were reportedly fired because, according to DOGE, weather forecasting could be done more cheaply. Apparently, being cheap has now become expensive. Will these deaths now also be attributed to Trump and Musk?

.

Good.
Fast.
Cheap.


Pick two.

(DOGE is perpetually going for 2 and 3.)
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On Mon 7-Jul-2025 6:29a, Joseph Pereira@1:124/5016.0 wrote:

Dozens have died in floods in Texas. The link is being made to the severe cutbacks by DOGE. Many weather scientists were reportedly fired because, according to DOGE, weather forecasting could be done more cheaply. Apparently, being cheap has now become expensive. Will these deaths now also be attributed to Trump and Musk?

An event like this (Simmilar to an aircraft, train, or ship accident) is best described by the "Swiss Cheese Model". There are multiple slices of swiss cheese and for the event to occure ALL the holes in the slices must match up. If one layer doesn't then the event can not take place. Playing the finger pointing, scapegoat game might make us all feel better, feeling we found and dealt with the culript, does little to prevent the event from happening in the future.

Things that will be looked out, and what we know so far.

1) Storm Prediction / Storm Warning.
Per the NWS the positions responsible for tracking and issuing of warnings were FULLY staffed at their allocated levels. They issued flash flood warnings as early as 1318 CT Thursday, updating to URGENT warnings at 0114 Friday CT.

2) NWS Warning routing / local action
With the exception NOAA weather stations (Weather Radio), it is NOT the responsibility of NOAA or the NWS to ensure the warnings reach end of mile. It is passed to local STATE or Local agencies for action. Whether that means issuing a Cell phone alert, local radio or television broadcasts, or local law enforcement going door to door recommending or ordering an evacuation.

3) Timing
Due to the early hours that the warning was updated to an URGENT status. The reach of the End Of Mile warning would reach a limmited number of people.

4) Infrastructure: The state of Texas decided it would be too expensive to install a wide are flood warning system (Sirens). People familiar with cell phone coverage of the area the most deaths accured was known to be spotty at best.

5) The human factor: Cell phone users may have had the alert warning features of their phones turned off, chose not to read the alert, or simply did not recieve the warning due to limmited cell phone coverage. Those that were ultimately responsible for making a stay or go decision may have made the assumption due to riding out previous storms OK, may have simply decided not to take action (Outcome bias).

6) Enviromental factors. The area had been under severe drought conditions for an extended period of time, reducing the grounds ability to absorb the extra rainfall, dumping it all into the river faster than it would have in the past, leading to the above outcome bias leading to the decision not to evacuate.

All of the reasons stated above, I think it would be disengenuous to place all or any of the blame on Trump and DOGE. At least we haven't yet heard the usual suspect of DEI.

Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
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